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Economy


An Aluminum Lining in a Darkening U.S.-China Trade Cloud
Late last month, the Trump administration “self-initiated” antidumping and countervailing duty investigations of imports of aluminum sheet from China. Reactions from media, social media, and the Chinese government seem to suggest these measures are especially provocative, pushing Washington and Beijing even closer to the brink of a trade war.
Daniel Ikenson
Dec 16, 20175 min read


America Has Yet to Realize Its Potential Wealth
I have a real problem with progressives and others that claim that America’s wealth threshold has already been reached and we have nowhere else to go but down. I couldn’t disagree more.
Neal Asbury
Jun 17, 20174 min read


Advice for the President on NAFTA Renegotiation: Don’t Fix What Ain’t Broke
Scapegoating trade for problems real and imagined has been a prominent part of American electoral politics for 25 years. So, during the campaign, when candidate Donald Trump referred to the North American Free Trade Agreement as “the worst trade deal ever negotiated,” his rhetoric wasn’t especially alarming.
Daniel Ikenson
Feb 26, 20174 min read


President Trump and the Truth about Trade, Globalization and Automation
Major economic trends in international trade, globalization and automation were strongly reflected in the November 8th election of President Donald Trump. They also were underlining factors in the United Kingdom’s June 23rd decision to withdraw from the European Union, known as Brexit, and in support of populist politicians in Europe. Why is this?

John Manzella
Feb 18, 20173 min read


Over the Edge and into the Abyss for US-China Trade Relations?
Trade frictions are nothing new to the U.S.-China relationship. Over the years they’ve ebbed and flowed, but were managed with enough deft to avoid major meltdowns. That seems likely to change under President Donald Trump, an economic nationalist who sees trade as a zero-sum game and the United States emerging “the winner” of a trade […]
Daniel Ikenson
Feb 16, 20175 min read


A Realistic Trade Policy Is Missing from the Trump Agenda
President Donald Trump is pushing all the right buttons when it comes to an economic agenda for his administration: eliminate excessive regulations, reduce corporate taxes, repeal Obamacare, pursue a sane energy policy, and fix immigration. But what is puzzling is that Trump has expressed some opinions about trade that are troubling.
Neal Asbury
Jan 22, 20174 min read


The False Promise of “Buy American”
If patriotism is the last refuge of scoundrels, where will President Trump turn when his “America First” policies lay waste to the very people he professes to be helping? The ideas conjured by “Buy American” may appeal to many of President Trump’s supporters, but the phrase is merely a euphemism for doling political spoils, featherbedding, […]
Daniel Ikenson
Jan 22, 20174 min read


Was Trump’s Campaign Rhetoric on Trade for Real?
During his campaign, President-elect Donald Trump made some very confrontational statements on trade. He called the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) the “rape of our country.” He suggested renegotiating, or even withdrawing from, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). And he accused China and Mexico, among others, of “cheating” the U.S. in trade.
Simon Lester
Dec 15, 20163 min read


Scrapping TPP Harms US Economic Interests, Strengthens China’s
Last week, President-elect Trump card his distaste for the Trans-Pacific Partnership and made withdrawal of the United States from the agreement a “Day One” priority. Although the move would hearten many of Trump’s supporters, history would judge it as folly — with a capital “F.”
Daniel Ikenson
Dec 13, 20163 min read


Cultural Change Could Transform America’s Job Outlook
There has been a shift in our culture and how we perceive today’s job seekers. Two groups in particular are being mischaracterized: millennials and trade/vocational school students. It’s not clear how this started, but many people hold a low opinion of millennials. Forbes notes that the oldest millennials, born in 1981 according to Pew Research...
Neal Asbury
Oct 30, 20164 min read


Factors Depressing Economic Growth Not Receding
Many factors are impacting economic growth. And volatility tops the list. According to a McKinsey Global Survey of executives, “Over the next five years nearly all respondents expect a disruption in the global economy due to volatility. And they are much likelier now — 43 percent, up from 29 percent in 2013...

John Manzella
Sep 24, 20168 min read


Is American Manufacturing in Crisis?
In the American manufacturing sector, perception and reality often become confused. One reason: American manufacturing employment has declined from a high of 19.5 million workers in 1979 to 12.3 million today. In turn, many assume the U.S. industry has become hollowed out. Another reason: shoppers often claim they see few “Made in America” products on...

John Manzella
Sep 13, 20166 min read


Increase in Exports Will Boost U.S. Economy
In the years ahead, U.S. economic growth is projected to remain modest at best. Consequently, for many firm interested in higher returns, international expansion is essential. Plus, markets outside the United States represent 73 percent of global purchasing power, 87 percent of economic growth, and 95 percent of world consumers, reports the U.S. Chamber of...

John Manzella
Sep 6, 20162 min read


More Colleges Must Emphasize Innovation
As an entrepreneur, nothing gives me more gratification than speaking to colleges and business schools about pursuing a career in entrepreneurship, where innovation is the coin of the realm. I have built several businesses, so I must have some kind of an entrepreneurial gene that spurs my dedication to creating new opportunities and the American...
Neal Asbury
Aug 18, 20164 min read


The Brexit Opportunity: Lower Tariffs, Fewer Regulations
The UK’s vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) has taken the world by surprise. There has been much debate about what it means, if anything, to America. Whatever the outcome, which will not be known for years, it shouldn’t undermine America’s resolve to grow exports and expand our global leadership.
Neal Asbury
Jul 16, 20164 min read


Charting a Free Market Course for UK Trade Policy
Last month’s vote by the United Kingdom to leave the European Union gives control over trade policy back to British officials, who are now faced with the difficult task of creating new domestic institutions and formulating trade and other international economic policies. Some of their immediate work is obvious.
Simon Lester
Jul 16, 20164 min read


Oil and Our Future: Two Possible Scenarios
The oil industry, and perhaps the global economy, is standing at a crossroads. Down one path, the storm is over — and it has been a major storm. Tens of thousands of jobs lost, billions of dollars in capital evaporated, and the promise of energy independence broken. Yet down this path is the promise of […]
Eric Sharpe
May 1, 20168 min read


The Truth About the U.S. Labor Market
The U.S. Labor Department announced job growth of 215,000 for March in line with expectations. Given a working-age population of over 200 million, it doesn’t seem to be a significant number of jobs. But 215,000 new jobs are the net increase of many moving parts. Annually, the U.S. creates a little less than 13 million […]
Robert Klemkosky
Apr 26, 20163 min read


Free Trade Has Delivered for Americans
Americans have a love-hate relationship with international trade. Every day we enjoy its fruits, which include better and more affordable products; access to a larger pool of customers, suppliers and capital; and greater employment and business opportunities with foreign companies operating in the United States. Yet many of us cheer when politicians take to the […]
Daniel Ikenson
Apr 16, 20164 min read


West Virginia Right-to-Work Vote Presages Expanded American Job Opportunities
Years ago, you could pretty much identify the union dominated states, and understood the role they played in turning out votes for Democratic candidates. With West Virginia’s vote to become a right-to-work state, there are now more states embracing right-to-work (26) than those that remain dominated by unions.
Neal Asbury
Apr 10, 20164 min read
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