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Cyprus Crisis Escalates Eurozone Risks
The possibility of Cyprus becoming the Achilles Heel of the eurozone and causing its eventual downfall has been heightened by the botched resolution to its payments crisis. This comes at a time of increased regional risk aversion as the eurozone’s plight has re-emerged on investors’ radars with Germany (and other, strong countries) seemingly more reluctant […]
Christopher McKee
Mar 20, 20137 min read


Impact of Kenyan Election on Business and Economy
The Kenyan presidential race was a game of building the broadest and most cohesive coalition of ethnic voting blocks, where kinship trumped detailed policy programs on the voters’ list of priorities. As such, Kenyatta’s victory brings little changes to the business environment with regard to the government’s inclination to raise taxes on foreign companies or […]
Christopher McKee
Mar 19, 20133 min read


Is the U.S.-Chinese Relationship Deteriorating?
The claim that the U.S.-China relationship will be the 21st century’s most important has become a cliché repeated at policy gatherings in Washington and Beijing. It also happens to be the truth. For better or worse, the trajectory of that relationship will be established firmly before the next U.S. president takes the oath of office.
Daniel Ikenson
Mar 7, 20137 min read


A New Approach to Cuba Is Needed
Unfortunately, our nation faces enormous challenges in virtually every region of the globe. In countries ranging from Iran to North Korea to Syria to Mali, and on issues spanning terrorism, drug trafficking, global warming and cyber warfare, each day will bring seemingly impossible problems for our nation’s foreign policy leaders, especially new Secretary of State […]
Michael D. Barnes
Mar 7, 20133 min read


Conservative Party of Canada Secure, But Risks Exist
Public support for the governing Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) has rebounded a bit since mid-2012, but Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s party will have to boost its numbers further before it can be confident of winning another majority at an election required by October 2015. In that regard, the CPC is unlikely to repeat its […]
The PRS Group
Mar 7, 20132 min read


Mexico: Ramping Up Reform Effort
Although the PRI regained the presidency at elections held in July 2012, the party fell short of winning a majority in either legislative chamber. In addition, its members are far from united in their support for reforms that the new president, Enrique Peña Nieto, claims will deliver average annual real GDP growth of 6 percent.
The PRS Group
Mar 6, 20132 min read


Brazil's Fiscal Temptation
The two-stage municipal elections held in October 2012 were closely watched as a gauge of the effect of a notorious vote-buying scandal on the popularity of the main governing PT. In that regard, the results suggest that the PT remains in a strong position to retain control of the presidency in 2014.
The PRS Group
Mar 6, 20132 min read


Italian Voters Create Uncertainty for Business and Investment
Italian voter's rejection of the austerity program carried out by the technocrat administration may deliver one of several options:
Christopher McKee
Feb 27, 20133 min read


Why Exporters Still Struggle with Letters of Credit
Commercial letters of credit (CLCs) are the most actively used structured payment instruments in international trade. They have been available for decades — long enough for exporters to have figured out how to effectively use them. If only this were true. In reality, large numbers of exporters are not aware of the pitfalls.
Chip Thomas
Feb 19, 20133 min read


Stimulus Has Not Worked and Will Make Economy Worse
Today we are faced with government debates about the importance of managing national debt. The President’s State of the Union Address did not show a strong movement towards debt reduction. Those of us who worry that growing debt can and will lead to another economic crisis in the U.S. often point toward U.S. fiscal policy […]
Larry Davidson
Feb 18, 20134 min read


Who’s Investing in Latin America?
In the past decade, Latin America has appeared more visibly on the radar screens of many companies considering expansion of their global footprint. More of these companies today are deciding to set up manufacturing facilities, distribution centers or services operations in this market. Since 2003, nearly 8,000 international companies have established new “greenfield” operations in […]
Roel Spee
Feb 13, 20135 min read


Crisis in Mali: Implications for Business and Investment
Mali’s risks remain heightened as its conflict continues to evolve. French-led international military intervention since 11 January has successfully repelled rebel forces to the more remote northern regions. Yet the country remains vulnerable to reprisals from both secular Tuareg separatist fighters and Islamist guerrillas linked to Al-Qaeda, which have regrouped among the safety of the […]
Christopher McKee
Feb 12, 20133 min read


The Shifting Landscape of Business Incentives in Europe
Government financial support for corporate facility investment and expansion continues to be a common practice in most parts of the world. For the right project, economic development agencies in many parts of North America and Asia can be remarkably flexible and creative in structuring an attractive incentives package.
Andreas Dressler
Feb 2, 20136 min read


Turkey: Cracks in AKP Could Sow Instability
In early November, Deputy Prime Minister Bekir Bozdag presented the government’s blueprint for a new constitutional order to the Parliament. It includes proposals to transfer responsibility for appointing Cabinet members from the prime minister to the president, and to eliminate the power of the Parliament to influence personnel decisions by means of votes of no-confidence […]
The PRS Group
Jan 30, 20132 min read


Greece: No End to Challenges
The fragile three-party coalition government formed after two parliamentary elections held last year failed to produce a decisive winner. And the unwillingness of some coalition lawmakers to back various elements of a harsh austerity program dictated by the EU and the IMF has reduced the government’s majority in the 300-member Parliament from 179 seats to […]
The PRS Group
Jan 30, 20132 min read


Libya’s Transition Could Yet Be Derailed
Libya’s first democratically elected government officially took office in early November, with the swearing-in of 20 Cabinet ministers appointed by Prime Minister Ali Zidan. The prime minister took care to include nominees favored by the main secular and Islamist blocs, the NFA and Justice and Construction, respectively, and also included figures from eastern Libya, an […]
The PRS Group
Jan 30, 20132 min read


France’s President Hollande Is Encountering Headwinds
In late 2012, the center-left government led by President François Hollande was dealt a major blow to its economic policy credibility. The constitutional council ruled that a 75 percent income tax rate imposed on individuals earning more than $1.3 million annually was not consistent with the French ideal of equality before the law. The very […]
The PRS Group
Jan 26, 20132 min read


China Sends Mixed Messages
After last year’s leadership transition, many U.S. firms doing business in China hoped to see an expansion of trade and an easing of regulations in 2013. The sudden openness of the Chinese media and Xi Jinping’s apparent crackdown on corruption has fueled this speculation. Unfortunately, this year is shaping up to be nearly as vexing […]
Shawn Mahoney
Jan 24, 20133 min read


Honduras May Be Headed for a Political Crisis
The Honduran government appears to be headed for another political crisis that is in some respects dismayingly similar to the events that led to the forced ouster of President Manuel Zelaya in June 2009, an episode from which the country has yet to fully recover. This time, however, it is not the Congress and the […]
The PRS Group
Jan 21, 20132 min read


China's Xi Will Provide a Steady Hand
As expected, Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping has been chosen to head the new group of leaders that will rule China for the next 10 years. At a CCP congress held in November, Xi was named as both party leader and chairman of the Central Military Commission, and he will replace Hu Jintao as national […]
The PRS Group
Jan 18, 20132 min read
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